NEBULA FUND

The Opportunity

A Trillion-Dollar Market Taking Shape.

Prediction market trading volume surged from $9 billion in 2024 to over $50 billion in 2025 — a 5 × increase — signalling a transition from niche crypto application to mainstream financial infrastructure.

Explosive Growth

Annual volume grew 5× in 2025. Leading firms project $1 trillion in annual trading volume by decade's end, rivalling traditional capital markets.

Democratisation of Information

The demand for high-quality, forward-looking insights is breaking traditional information monopolies and creating new data-driven investment opportunities.

Web3 & AI Advantage

Blockchain ensures transparency; smart contracts automate execution; AI models enhance predictive accuracy — creating the next generation of efficient, intelligent markets.

Wisdom of Crowds

Research shows prediction markets are 20–30% more accurate than traditional polling. Institutional firms like DRW and Susquehanna now operate dedicated desks.

Global Uncertainty as a Catalyst

Events from elections and Fed rate decisions to geopolitical shifts provide constant, high-engagement trading catalysts for prediction market participants.

About NEBULA FUND

Built for a market where information, capital, and probability converge.

NEBULA FUND is headquartered at Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 in Singapore. We identify and capitalise on transformative opportunities across digital assets, Web3 infrastructure, and probability-driven market intelligence.

Our work is designed for investors, advisors, and partners who need clear research, transparent risk thinking, and a practical bridge between crypto-native markets and institutional decision-making.

MBFC

Singapore business address and regional investment presence

5M

Seed funding target to accelerate product development and expansion

100%

Focused on accountable, data-led decision support and risk discipline

Services

Investment capabilities for the Web3 era.

NEBULA FUND combines quantitative research, on-chain analysis, and institutional risk discipline to support investment decisions across venture and liquid digital asset markets.

01

Prediction Market Research

Event analysis, platform tracking, liquidity mapping, and market structure reviews across crypto-native and regulated venues like Polymarket and Kalshi.

02

Quantitative Intelligence

AI/ML-driven statistical modelling, sentiment aggregation, time-series analysis, and fair-value estimation for probabilistic markets.

03

Web3 Investment Strategy

Research and deployment across NFT, DeFi, and Layer 1/Layer 2 protocols — with early-stage venture and liquid token exposure.

04

Risk Management

Scenario design, exposure limits, counterparty review, operational controls, and post-trade learning loops built on institutional rigour.

05

Alternative Data Services

Data pipelines blending market prices, public event signals, social momentum, and on-chain indicators for institutional-grade insight.

06

Systematic Trading & Market Making

Arbitrage, market-making, and event-driven strategies deployed on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi with low-latency infrastructure.

Market Leaders

The competitive landscape we navigate.

The prediction market and digital asset landscape is led by platforms that combine liquidity, transparency, and regulatory access. NEBULA FUND studies these venues as a new information layer for institutional decision-making.

Polymarket

Web3 Pioneer

Positioning: Decentralised, permissionless, crypto-native
Tech: Built on Polygon blockchain, on-chain transparent data
Valuation: ~$9B+ | Cumulative volume: $560.7B
Strength: High liquidity, low slippage, global reach, user privacy

Kalshi

Compliance Trailblazer

Positioning: Regulated, fiat-friendly, CFTC-licensed
Tech: Centralised DB under strict CFTC regulation and audits
Valuation: ~$20B–$22B | US market share: ~89%
Strength: Regulatory moat, institutional trust, fiat on/off-ramps
Users: Monthly active users: 5.1M+

Fusion & Transcendence

Tech Fusion: Web3 transparency + optimised centralised UX
Compliance Fusion: Singapore's institutional finance and digital asset framework
Market Fusion: Macro, geopolitics, tech trends + alternative data
Quant Fusion: AI/ML models for multi-dimensional analysis

Compliance & Legal

Credibility depends on controls, not slogans.

NEBULA FUND is structured around transparent research processes, clear disclosure, and operational discipline. We operate from Singapore and keep public-facing materials practical, accurate, and aligned with documented investment capabilities.

AML / KYC Readiness

Investor onboarding and partner workflows aligned with identity checks, screening, and recordkeeping expectations under Singapore financial-market standards.

Research Accountability

Investment theses documented with source context, assumptions, downside cases, and review triggers — every claim traceable to its data source.

Risk & Disclosure Discipline

Marketing copy, product claims, and performance language reviewed before publication. Scenario-based stress testing embedded in portfolio management.

Downloadable Resources

Compliance whitepapers and policy documents available for qualified investors and partners upon request.

Our Team

A confluence of expertise.

NEBULA FUND is powered by a multidisciplinary team of investment professionals, quantitative researchers, engineers, and market analysts.

Quantitative & Financial Acumen

Decades of combined experience in traditional and alternative asset management, venture capital, and systematic trading — applying the same rigorous, data-driven approach as firms like Susquehanna.

Technological Prowess

Blockchain developers, smart contract auditors, and software engineers building low-latency infrastructure for high-frequency trading. Proficiency in Python, Web3 libraries, and FIX protocol.

Data-Driven Insight

Data scientists and quantitative analysts leveraging machine learning, Bayesian methods, and time-series analysis to turn complex, real-time datasets into a competitive edge.

Join Us

Shape the Future of Prediction Markets.

NEBULA FUND is seeking exceptional talent and collaborators to join a research-led digital asset investment organisation. We offer flexible engagement models for people with strong market judgment and technical curiosity.

Web3 & Blockchain Engineers

Developers and architects passionate about building robust, low-latency systems for decentralised applications.

Prediction Market Advisor / Consultant

Analyse global political, economic, and tech events to generate high-conviction trade ideas. Part-time and project-based roles available — active engagement with personal trading and protocol understanding expected.

Quantitative Researchers & Data Scientists

Build predictive models from complex datasets, leveraging NLP, machine learning, and statistical analysis to generate fair-value estimations and trading signals.

Quantitative Traders & Strategists

Individuals with a track record in systematic strategies — arbitrage, market making, and event-driven — deployed on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Full-Time Positions Project-Based Collabs Part-Time Roles Advisory Board Seats

Insights

Signals worth tracking.

Research notes, market analysis, and strategic thinking from our team.

Market

Why prediction markets are becoming a new information layer

Research Note

Data

From sentiment to signal: building better probability inputs

Method Brief

Governance

Controls investors should expect before allocating capital

Governance Memo

Market

Polymarket vs. Kalshi: understanding the two prediction market paradigms

Competitive Analysis

Strategy

How crowd wisdom outperforms experts: the quantifiable edge

Strategy Brief

Data

On-chain analytics for prediction market liquidity mapping

Data Brief

Research

AI-driven fair-value estimation for probabilistic event markets

Research Paper